drift unsorted, personal, updated whenever
03:14 — rewrote the ending three times

two uncles, one number

At the kopitiam, the rate never comes up by name. It arrives as everything else.

— kopi-o. same table.

— the price of money went up again.

— i heard kopi went up again.

— not the same thing.

— teh then.

— also not the same thing. near five percent now. roughly twice what it was before covid.

— who sets this price?

— washington sets the tone. your rate is that, plus who you are.

— and MAS? MAS doesn't set it?

— MAS doesn't do rates. they steer the exchange rate instead.

— so who watches it here?

— nobody you know.

— and it prices everything anyway?

— it prices everything anyway.

— almost nobody watches it. it never needed an audience.

read the night's log →

the landlord

Singapore is very good at being where the money passes through. The same trick worked with trade, then manufacturing, then semiconductors, then finance, then data centres, and now AI. AWS has committed S$23.5 billion cumulatively to its Singapore operations and cloud infrastructure; Google, Microsoft, and ByteDance have their own. The GDP will grow. The open question is where it goes after that, and whether ordinary Singaporeans will feel it, or just live inside the economy that produces it.

37%
Labour's share of GDP, 2024
down from 42% in 2015
— the number the whole story hangs on

That line hasn't turned. the lease keeps running →

the first real one on here. the nine before it were sketches.

noticed today i no longer flinch when the phone shows forty-one unread notifications. somewhere in the last year the number stopped being an emergency and became weather.

the piece below took four rewrites. this is the one i didn’t hate most.

the zoning vote no one watched

Last month our city council rezoned the block behind the old bus depot in a nine-minute vote. Fourteen people attended, in person and by webcam combined. Three days earlier a congressional hearing on a subject with no direct bearing on anyone in that room pulled national coverage across every outlet I read.

I don’t think the hearing was unimportant. I think we’ve collectively decided that stakes are set by audience size instead of the other way around. The zoning vote will change parking, rent, and traffic for thousands of people who never got a notification. It just didn’t have a camera pointed at it.

panel 1pending artwork
panel 2pending artwork
panel 3pending artwork
no dialogue in this one — six panels

what the 3am earnings call actually priced in

Nvidia reported after the bell and the stock moved four percent before the call even started, entirely on a leaked line from a supplier note. By the time management said a word, the market had already decided what mattered.

+4.1%
9:31pm – 10:01pm et
the 30 minutes that mattered

The rest of the call — guidance, margins, the analyst Q&A — moved the stock about half a percent, combined. there’s more, if you care →

The interesting question isn’t whether the market is efficient. It’s whether the market prices in information or prices in narratives about information. The supplier note wasn’t more accurate than the earnings report. It was earlier. And in a market built on speed, earlier wins even when it’s wrong.

correction: tuesday’s chart had the wrong axis label for about six hours. fixed now.

the model that got worse on purpose

A lab I won’t name shipped a smaller, slower version of their flagship model last week and called it an upgrade. It is, for almost everyone. I spent the weekend figuring out why that’s the more interesting story than the frontier model it’s not … more, eventually →

The full piece breaks down why capability and usefulness diverge, why the frontier race is a distraction for most real applications, and what happens when the industry realizes the bottleneck isn’t model size — it’s the unglamorous layer nobody wanted to invest in.

how many mondays are left

Enter a birth year. Each square is one week. Filled squares are spent; the rest assumes eighty years, which is a guess, not a promise.

lived: — weeks
left: — weeks, est.

ps — this thing assumes eighty years. adjust your expectations accordingly.